Oohlo Picks the 91st Academy Awards Winners

The 91st Annual Academy Awards are less than a week away and this year’s nominees are already steeped in more than the average amount of controversy.

The telecast is going without a host this year after some old, homophobic tweets of Kevin Hart’s were unearthed, and the rest of the entertainment world lost the desire to go near this suddenly radioactive show.

There’s no clear-cut favorite, as all of the frontrunners have a flaw or some controversy of their own attached. But, we here at Oohlo LabsTM aren’t afraid of a little controversy. This being a mixed bag year for the Academy, if you are an Oscar favorite or are due a career achievement award, this could very well be your time.

The night always has a big (multiple award) winner, and I’m projecting that it’s going to be Roma‘s night. Director Alfonso Cuaron is an Academy favorite, its controversy is minimal (limited US theater and near simultaneous Netflix release) and the Academy does like to send political messages, plus having a plucky film from Mexico as the big winner seems right.

Here are Oohlo’s major category Oscar picks:

Best Picture:

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

Should win: Roma.

Will win: Roma. It would be amazing if Black Panther takes the prize, especially after that whole Popular Film category mess, but Roma is your winner here.

Lead Actor:

Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

Should win: Rami Malek. Bohemian Rhapsody may have had its issues, but Malek’s performance was not one of them.

Will win: Christian Bale. The Academy loves when actors wear a bunch of prosthetics or gain a lot of weight for their roles. Bale did both.

Lead Actress:

Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Should win: Glenn Close.

Will win: Glenn Close. She’s spent her career being overshadowed by Meryl Streep. Close’s career has been just as amazing, and this will be a well-deserved win.

Supporting Actor:

Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

Should win: Sam Elliott. With his trademark mustache or without, Elliott always brings the mail. He falls into that career-achievement category.

Will win: Mahershala Ali. He’s amazing in everything he does, and it’s the safest way for the Academy to recognize Green Book.

Supporting Actress:

Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Should win: Pick one This is the deepest category this year; all are deserving.

Will win: Amy Adams. Adams has been nominated many times and never won. That oversight will be corrected this round.

Director:

Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Adam McKay, Vice

Should win: Spike Lee. The man has made some of the most influential movies of the last 30 years (including the criminally underrated Inside Man), and this is his first directing nomination.

Will win: Alfonso Cuaron. The Academy loves him, and this was one of the better outings in Cuaron’s career.

Animated Feature:

Incredibles 2, Brad Bird
Isle of Dogs, Wes Anderson
Mirai, Mamoru Hosoda
Ralph Breaks the Internet, Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman

Should win:  Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Will win:  Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. With stunning visuals, great music and memorable characters, Into the Spider-Verse pulled out all the stops to break Pixar’s dominance in the category.

Adapted Screenplay:

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
BlacKkKlansman, Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
A Star Is Born, Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters

Should win: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs. The Coens made the most of the anthology format to tell classic Western stories.

Will win: A Star Is Born. This will be a mild upset. Star hits many of the Academy’s soft points, because its members love movies about show business, and Adapted Screenplay feels like the best spot to honor Bradley Cooper for his passion/vanity project.

Original Screenplay:

The Favourite, Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
First Reformed, Paul Schrader
Green Book, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
Vice, Adam McKay

Should win: Roma.

Will win: Roma. McKay might jump up and surprise here, but this will be one of Cuaron’s many trips to the stage.

Cinematography:

Cold War, Lukasz Zal
The Favourite, Robbie Ryan
Never Look Away, Caleb Deschanel
Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
A Star Is Born, Matthew Libatique

Should win: Roma.

Will win: Roma. The Academy has a soft spot for beautifully shot black and white films.

Best Foreign Language Film:

Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)

Should win: Roma.

Will win: Roma. Can’t have the presumptive Best Picture winner not take home this award, too.

Original Score:

BlacKkKlansman, Terence Blanchard
Black Panther, Ludwig Goransson
If Beale Street Could Talk, Nicholas Britell
Isle of Dogs, Alexandre Desplat
Mary Poppins Returns, Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman

Should win: Mary Poppins Returns.

Will win: Mary Poppins Returns. It’s a musical; of course, it’s going to have the Best Score.

Original Song:

“All The Stars” from Black Panther by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from RBG by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from Mary Poppins Returns by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from A Star Is Born by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch

Should win: Shallow.”

Will win: Shallow.” Powerful song and the surest bet of any category on the night.

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Craig Wack

For a weekly discussion of comic book TV shows please join Craig Wack and Tatiana Torres for the Agents of GEEK podcast updated every Friday and now on iTunes

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